MIN
2–5
COL
Final · L
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 5-5
2–5
FinalL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 7-1
1ST2ND3RDT
MIN
140819221
COL
010111413534
goals · shots on goal
Game 4 — the Wild trail the series 1–3
MIN 5-5 · COL 7-1 · Game 4 — the Wild trail the series 1–3
Wild fell to the Avalanche
Chances were even (2.9 to 3.1 expected goals); the Wild lost 2–5. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.9 expected goals to 3.1, on 21 and 34 shots on goal.
MIN 2.9 xG · 21 shots
COL 3.1 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.3 · 0.4
2nd
1.2 · 1.2
3rd
1.4 · 1.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Danila Yurov · 1st 09:46 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Nazem Kadri · 2nd 06:08 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
3
Ross Colton · 3rd 06:56 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Nico Sturm · 3rd 09:15 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
5
Parker Kelly · 3rd 11:32 · 2–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 19:27 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
7
Brock Nelson · 3rd 19:52 · 2–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 46.
MIN 46%COL 54%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 8 penalties← Wild shoot this way
Avalanche shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Danila Yurov · 1st 09:46 · PP · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Nazem Kadri · 2nd 06:08 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
3
Ross Colton · 3rd 06:56 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Nico Sturm · 3rd 09:15 · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
5
Parker Kelly · 3rd 11:32 · GWG · 2–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 19:27 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
7
Brock Nelson · 3rd 19:52 · EN · 2–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:48
Danila Yurov· Roughing
Danila Yurov· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:48
Ross Colton· Roughing
Ross Colton· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
4 min
Double minor
07:07
Josh Manson· Butt ending
Josh Manson· Butt ending
Yurov scored on this power play
Double minor
1
Brock Faber, Vladimir Tarasenko · Power play (Manson, butt ending) · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1–0
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:42
Zach Bogosian· Interference
Zach Bogosian· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:01
Yakov Trenin· Closing hand on puck
Yakov Trenin· Closing hand on puck
Kadri scored on this power play
Minor
2
Martin Necas · Power play (Trenin, closing hand on puck) · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
1–1
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
10:48
Bench· Too many men on the ice
Bench· Too many men on the ice
Killed
Bench minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:39
Parker Kelly· Cross-checking
Parker Kelly· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
20:00
Marcus Foligno· Cross-checking
Marcus Foligno· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
29/32 saves · 3 GA · 3.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
19/21 saves · 2 GA · 2.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Wild went 1-for-3 on the power play and allowed 1 on 3 Avalanche power plays.