MTL
4–3
TOR
Final · W
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 1-0-0
4–3
FinalW
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 0-1-0
1ST2ND3RDT
MTL
082926423
TOR
18113111332
goals · shots on goal
Season opener for both teams
·First meeting this season — the Canadiens lead the season series 1–0
MTL 1-0-0 · TOR 0-1-0 · First meeting this season — the Canadiens lead the season series 1–0
Canadiens beat the Maple Leafs
The Canadiens were outchanced (3.7 to 2.4 expected goals) but won 4–3 anyway. Anderson's winner came with 0:19 left. Matt Murray allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 2.4, on 32 and 23 shots on goal.
MTL 2.4 xG · 23 shots
TOR 3.7 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.8 · 0.5
2nd · the swing
1.0 · 2.1
3rd
0.7 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Michael Bunting · 1st 11:41 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Cole Caufield · 2nd 00:33 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Denis Malgin · 2nd 09:06 · 1–2 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
4
Cole Caufield · 2nd 15:56 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Sean Monahan · 3rd 17:30 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
6
William Nylander · 3rd 18:10 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Josh Anderson · 3rd 19:41 · 4–3 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Canadiens win 31.
MTL 31%TOR 69%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Canadiens shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Michael Bunting · 1st 11:41 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Cole Caufield · 2nd 00:33 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Denis Malgin · 2nd 09:06 · 1–2
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
4
Cole Caufield · 2nd 15:56 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Sean Monahan · 3rd 17:30 · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
6
William Nylander · 3rd 18:10 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Josh Anderson · 3rd 19:41 · GWG · 4–3
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
29/32 saves · 3 GA · 3.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
19/23 saves · 4 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
