MTL
2–7
BUF
Final · L
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 9-9-1
2–7
FinalL
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 8-11-0
1ST2ND3RDT
MTL
1151808231
BUF
39114315738
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
MTL 9-9-1 · BUF 8-11-0 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Canadiens fell to the Sabres
The Canadiens were outchanced (3.6 to 2.4 expected goals) and lost 2–7. Jake Allen allowed 3.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sabres created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 2.4, on 38 and 31 shots on goal.
MTL 2.4 xG · 31 shots
BUF 3.6 xG · 38 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.1 · 0.8
2nd
0.8 · 1.2
3rd · the swing
0.4 · 1.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Rasmus Dahlin · 1st 00:35 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
JJ Peterka · 1st 00:52 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Alex Tuch · 1st 02:13 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Cole Caufield · 1st 02:57 · 1–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
· 2nd 11:21 · 1–4 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Sean Monahan · 2nd 13:57 · 2–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (11%)
7
Henri Jokiharju · 3rd 03:48 · 2–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
8
Tage Thompson · 3rd 06:39 · 2–6 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
9
· 3rd 14:26 · 2–7 · slap shot, a good chance (14%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Canadiens win 31.
MTL 31%BUF 69%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Canadiens shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Rasmus Dahlin · 1st 00:35 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
JJ Peterka · 1st 00:52 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Alex Tuch · 1st 02:13 · PP · GWG · 0–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Cole Caufield · 1st 02:57 · 1–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
· 2nd 11:21 · 1–4
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Sean Monahan · 2nd 13:57 · 2–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (11%)
7
Henri Jokiharju · 3rd 03:48 · 2–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
8
Tage Thompson · 3rd 06:39 · 2–6
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
9
· 3rd 14:26 · PP · 2–7
Slap shot, a good chance (14%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
31/38 saves · 7 GA · 3.6 xGA
Allowed 3.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
29/31 saves · 2 GA · 2.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
