MTL
4–3
NSH
Final · W
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 17-22-3
4–3
FinalW
Nashville Predators
NSH · 19-16-6
1ST2ND3RDT
MTL
2191917435
NSH
18114120342
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
MTL 17-22-3 · NSH 19-16-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Canadiens beat the Predators
The Canadiens were outchanced (3.9 to 3.4 expected goals) but won 4–3 anyway. The Canadiens scored 2 power-play goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Predators created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 3.4, on 42 and 35 shots on goal.
MTL 3.4 xG · 35 shots
NSH 3.9 xG · 42 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.7 · 0.8
2nd
1.2 · 1.8
3rd · the swing
0.4 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nino Niederreiter · 1st 10:35 · 0–1 · deflected shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Jake Evans · 1st 13:30 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Kirby Dach · 1st 15:08 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
4
Filip Forsberg · 2nd 00:12 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (25%)
5
Cole Caufield · 2nd 10:03 · 3–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Cole Caufield · 3rd 06:15 · 4–2 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Juuso Parssinen · 3rd 18:31 · 4–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Canadiens win 42.
MTL 42%NSH 58%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Canadiens shoot this way
Predators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nino Niederreiter · 1st 10:35 · 0–1
Deflected shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Jake Evans · 1st 13:30 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Kirby Dach · 1st 15:08 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
4
Filip Forsberg · 2nd 00:12 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (25%)
5
Cole Caufield · 2nd 10:03 · PP · 3–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Cole Caufield · 3rd 06:15 · PP · GWG · 4–2
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Juuso Parssinen · 3rd 18:31 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
39/42 saves · 3 GA · 3.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
31/35 saves · 4 GA · 3.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
