Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 19-24-3
2–6
FinalL
Florida Panthers
FLA · 22-20-5
1ST2ND3RDT
MTL
090729225
FLA
01152217640
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Canadiens trail the season series 0–2
MTL 19-24-3 · FLA 22-20-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the Canadiens trail the season series 0–2
Canadiens fell to the Panthers
The Canadiens were outchanced (6.3 to 2.6 expected goals) and lost 2–6. The Panthers owned the 2nd period, 3.4 to 1.1 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 6.3 expected goals to 2.6, on 40 and 25 shots on goal.
MTL 2.6 xG · 25 shots
FLA 6.3 xG · 40 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
1st
0.6 · 1.6
2nd · the swing
1.1 · 3.4
3rd
0.9 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 06:30 · 0–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
2
Sam Bennett · 2nd 08:27 · 0–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 14:58 · 0–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
4
· 2nd 16:03 · 0–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 19:17 · 0–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
6
Rem Pitlick · 3rd 02:12 · 1–5 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Josh Anderson · 3rd 08:06 · 2–5 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
8
Ryan Lomberg · 3rd 09:11 · 2–6 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Canadiens win 11.
MTL 11%FLA 89%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 06:30 · PP · 0–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
2
Sam Bennett · 2nd 08:27 · PP · 0–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 14:58 · PP · GWG · 0–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
4
· 2nd 16:03 · 0–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 19:17 · PP · 0–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
6
Rem Pitlick · 3rd 02:12 · 1–5
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Josh Anderson · 3rd 08:06 · 2–5
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
8
Ryan Lomberg · 3rd 09:11 · 2–6
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/33 saves · 5 GA · 5.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
6/7 saves · 1 GA · 1.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.