MTL
4–5
OTT
Final · L
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 20-27-4
4–5
FinalL
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 24-23-3
1ST2ND3RDT
MTL
14115213432
OTT
21111226529
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Canadiens trail the season series 0–3
MTL 20-27-4 · OTT 24-23-3 · Meeting 3 this season — the Canadiens trail the season series 0–3
Canadiens fell to the Senators
The Canadiens created the better chances (4.2 to 3.1 expected goals) — and lost 4–5. Tkachuk's winner came with 1:18 left. Jake Allen allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Canadiens created the better chances: 4.2 expected goals to 3.1, on 32 and 29 shots on goal.
MTL 4.2 xG · 32 shots
OTT 3.1 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.3 · 1.3
2nd
1.4 · 1.4
3rd · the swing
1.5 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Claude Giroux · 1st 02:57 · 0–1 · deflected shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Tim Stützle · 1st 03:49 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Kirby Dach · 1st 13:20 · 1–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (33%)
4
Alex DeBrincat · 2nd 16:23 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Mike Hoffman · 2nd 19:55 · 2–3 · slap shot, a good chance (15%)
6
· 3rd 11:02 · 3–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Tim Stützle · 3rd 12:14 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
· 3rd 14:16 · 4–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
9
Brady Tkachuk · 3rd 18:42 · 4–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Canadiens win 65.
MTL 65%OTT 35%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Canadiens shoot this way
Senators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Claude Giroux · 1st 02:57 · 0–1
Deflected shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Tim Stützle · 1st 03:49 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Kirby Dach · 1st 13:20 · PP · 1–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (33%)
4
Alex DeBrincat · 2nd 16:23 · PP · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Mike Hoffman · 2nd 19:55 · PP · 2–3
Slap shot, a good chance (15%)
6
· 3rd 11:02 · 3–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Tim Stützle · 3rd 12:14 · PP · 3–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
· 3rd 14:16 · 4–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
9
Brady Tkachuk · 3rd 18:42 · GWG · 4–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/29 saves · 5 GA · 3.1 xGA
Allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
28/32 saves · 4 GA · 4.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
