Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 21-27-4
4–3
Final / OTW
New York Islanders
NYI · 27-23-6
1ST2ND3RDOTT
MTL
114052913431
NYI
171101805330
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
MTL 21-27-4 · NYI 27-23-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Canadiens beat the Islanders
The Canadiens earned it: 3.3 expected goals to 2.5, and they won it in overtime on Matheson's goal.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Canadiens created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 2.5, on 31 and 30 shots on goal.
MTL 3.3 xG · 31 shots
NYI 2.5 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.2 · 0.7
2nd
0.4 · 0.6
3rd
0.9 · 0.3
OT
0.8 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nick Suzuki · 1st 12:57 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Brock Nelson · 1st 15:01 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Bo Horvat · 2nd 19:55 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Justin Barron · 3rd 04:02 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Matt Martin · 3rd 10:54 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Kirby Dach · 3rd 16:44 · 3–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Mike Matheson · OT 04:38 · 4–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (47%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Canadiens win 63.
MTL 63%NYI 37%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nick Suzuki · 1st 12:57 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Brock Nelson · 1st 15:01 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Bo Horvat · 2nd 19:55 · PP · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Justin Barron · 3rd 04:02 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Matt Martin · 3rd 10:54 · 2–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Kirby Dach · 3rd 16:44 · 3–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Mike Matheson · OT 04:38 · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (47%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
5
Alexander Romanov, Scott Mayfield · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2–3
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
27/30 saves · 3 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 0.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
27/31 saves · 4 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.