MTL
2–5
OTT
Final · L
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 25-30-4
2–5
FinalL
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 28-26-4
1ST2ND3RDT
MTL
0921409232
OTT
1517310522
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Canadiens trail the season series 0–4
MTL 25-30-4 · OTT 28-26-4 · Meeting 4 this season — the Canadiens trail the season series 0–4
Canadiens fell to the Senators
Chances were even (2.5 to 2.6 expected goals); the Canadiens lost 2–5. Samuel Montembeault allowed 2.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.6, on 32 and 22 shots on goal.
MTL 2.5 xG · 32 shots
OTT 2.6 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 0.6
2nd
0.9 · 0.7
3rd
1.1 · 1.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Derick Brassard · 1st 15:12 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Mike Matheson · 2nd 04:29 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
3
Nick Suzuki · 2nd 08:46 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Shane Pinto · 2nd 13:51 · 2–2 · deflected shot, a good chance (12%)
5
· 3rd 04:31 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Drake Batherson · 3rd 05:18 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Julien Gauthier · 3rd 11:57 · 2–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Canadiens win 47.
MTL 47%OTT 53%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Canadiens shoot this way
Senators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Derick Brassard · 1st 15:12 · 0–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Mike Matheson · 2nd 04:29 · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
3
Nick Suzuki · 2nd 08:46 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Shane Pinto · 2nd 13:51 · 2–2
Deflected shot, a good chance (12%)
5
· 3rd 04:31 · GWG · 2–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Drake Batherson · 3rd 05:18 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Julien Gauthier · 3rd 11:57 · 2–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
5
Travis Hamonic, Derick Brassard · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2–3
No penalties
Goaltending
17/22 saves · 5 GA · 2.6 xGA
Allowed 2.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
30/32 saves · 2 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
