Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 26-33-5
3–4
Final / SOL
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 42-12-8
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
MTL
2101706010324
CAR
110112113041439
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Canadiens trail the season series 0–2
MTL 26-33-5 · CAR 42-12-8 · Meeting 2 this season — the Canadiens trail the season series 0–2
Canadiens fell to the Hurricanes
The Canadiens let a 2–0 lead get away: the Hurricanes came back with three unanswered goals — Fast's equalizer — and won it in a shootout.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 2.5, on 39 and 24 shots on goal.
MTL 2.5 xG · 24 shots
CAR 3.7 xG · 39 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.1 · 0.6
2nd
0.7 · 1.2
3rd
0.6 · 1.3
OT
0.0 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alex Belzile · 1st 10:17 · 1–0 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (28%)
2
Mike Hoffman · 1st 16:16 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Jaccob Slavin · 1st 16:31 · 2–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Brady Skjei · 2nd 01:00 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
· 2nd 02:49 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Jesper Fast · 3rd 16:22 · 3–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Canadiens win 32.
MTL 32%CAR 68%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alex Belzile · 1st 10:17 · 1–0
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (28%)
2
Mike Hoffman · 1st 16:16 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Jaccob Slavin · 1st 16:31 · 2–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Brady Skjei · 2nd 01:00 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
· 2nd 02:49 · 3–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Jesper Fast · 3rd 16:22 · 3–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Hurricanes
Goaltending
36/39 saves · 3 GA · 3.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
13/14 saves · 1 GA · 1.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.