Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 26-35-6
4–8
FinalL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 37-22-6
1ST2ND3RDT
MTL
1316210419
COL
4921628833
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Canadiens trail the season series 0–2
MTL 26-35-6 · COL 37-22-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the Canadiens trail the season series 0–2
Canadiens fell to the Avalanche
The Canadiens were outchanced (4.0 to 2.0 expected goals) and lost 4–8. Jake Allen allowed 4.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 4.0 expected goals to 2.0, on 33 and 19 shots on goal.
MTL 2.0 xG · 19 shots
COL 4.0 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.4 · 1.1
2nd · the swing
0.4 · 1.7
3rd
1.2 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Artturi Lehkonen · 1st 02:59 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Bowen Byram · 1st 06:09 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Matt Nieto · 1st 08:05 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Artturi Lehkonen · 1st 16:00 · 0–4 · deflected shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Josh Anderson · 1st 18:58 · 1–4 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 01:48 · 1–5 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
7
J.T. Compher · 2nd 03:58 · 1–6 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
8
Denis Gurianov · 2nd 19:18 · 2–6 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
9
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 08:09 · 2–7 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
10
Jesse Ylonen · 3rd 08:48 · 3–7 · tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
11
Mike Matheson · 3rd 10:35 · 4–7 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
12
Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 13:09 · 4–8 · tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Canadiens win 22.
MTL 22%COL 78%
Goals and penalties
12 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Artturi Lehkonen · 1st 02:59 · 0–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Bowen Byram · 1st 06:09 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Matt Nieto · 1st 08:05 · 0–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Artturi Lehkonen · 1st 16:00 · PP · 0–4
Deflected shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Josh Anderson · 1st 18:58 · 1–4
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 01:48 · GWG · 1–5
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
7
J.T. Compher · 2nd 03:58 · 1–6
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
8
Denis Gurianov · 2nd 19:18 · PP · 2–6
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
9
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 08:09 · PP · 2–7
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
10
Jesse Ylonen · 3rd 08:48 · 3–7
Tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
11
Mike Matheson · 3rd 10:35 · 4–7
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
12
Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 13:09 · PP · 4–8
Tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
1st period
5
Johnathan Kovacevic, Nick Suzuki · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1–4
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
16/18 saves · 2 GA · 2.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
9/15 saves · 6 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 4.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.