MTL
3–2
TBL
Final · W
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 28-37-6
3–2
FinalW
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 42-24-6
1ST2ND3RDT
MTL
2101604320
TBL
010113110233
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Canadiens trail the season series 1–3
MTL 28-37-6 · TBL 42-24-6 · Meeting 4 this season — the Canadiens trail the season series 1–3
Canadiens beat the Lightning
The Canadiens were outchanced (3.0 to 2.3 expected goals) but won 3–2 anyway. Samuel Montembeault stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 3.0 expected goals to 2.3, on 33 and 20 shots on goal.
MTL 2.3 xG · 20 shots
TBL 3.0 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.4 · 0.8
2nd · the swing
0.3 · 1.6
3rd
0.6 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Kirby Dach · 1st 08:27 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Jonathan Drouin · 1st 14:00 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Brayden Point · 2nd 08:58 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Mike Matheson · 2nd 16:58 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
5
Patrick Maroon · 3rd 14:54 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Canadiens win 39.
MTL 39%TBL 61%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Canadiens shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Kirby Dach · 1st 08:27 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Jonathan Drouin · 1st 14:00 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Brayden Point · 2nd 08:58 · PP · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Mike Matheson · 2nd 16:58 · GWG · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
5
Patrick Maroon · 3rd 14:54 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
31/33 saves · 2 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
17/20 saves · 3 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
