MTL
2–5
FLA
Final · L
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 30-40-6
2–5
FinalL
Florida Panthers
FLA · 38-31-7
1ST2ND3RDT
MTL
160717220
FLA
1132829530
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Canadiens trail the season series 0–4
MTL 30-40-6 · FLA 38-31-7 · Meeting 4 this season — the Canadiens trail the season series 0–4
Canadiens fell to the Panthers
The Canadiens were outchanced (3.8 to 1.3 expected goals) and lost 2–5. The Panthers owned the 2nd period, 1.6 to 0.3 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 1.3, on 30 and 20 shots on goal.
MTL 1.3 xG · 20 shots
FLA 3.8 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.4 · 1.1
2nd · the swing
0.3 · 1.6
3rd
0.6 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sean Farrell · 1st 01:23 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Anton Lundell · 1st 04:09 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (29%)
3
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 03:59 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 05:57 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Anton Lundell · 3rd 10:15 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a great chance (31%)
6
· 3rd 18:35 · 2–4 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Matthew Tkachuk · 3rd 19:40 · 2–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Canadiens win 14.
MTL 14%FLA 86%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Canadiens shoot this way
Panthers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sean Farrell · 1st 01:23 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Anton Lundell · 1st 04:09 · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (29%)
3
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 03:59 · PP · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 05:57 · GWG · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Anton Lundell · 3rd 10:15 · 1–4
Wrist shot, a great chance (31%)
6
· 3rd 18:35 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–4
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Matthew Tkachuk · 3rd 19:40 · EN · 2–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
25/29 saves · 4 GA · 3.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
18/20 saves · 2 GA · 1.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
