Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 5-2-1
4–3
Final / SOW
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 4-3-1
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
MTL
1611119031429
WPG
118212011040345
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Canadiens lead the season series 1–0
MTL 5-2-1 · WPG 4-3-1 · First meeting this season — the Canadiens lead the season series 1–0
Canadiens beat the Jets
Down 1–3 in the 2nd period, the Canadiens erased the deficit with two unanswered goals — Armia's equalizer — and won it in a shootout. Jake Allen stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Jets created the better chances: 4.0 expected goals to 2.5, on 45 and 29 shots on goal.
MTL 2.5 xG · 29 shots
WPG 4.0 xG · 45 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
0.4 · 1.7
2nd
1.0 · 1.1
3rd
0.7 · 0.7
OT
0.4 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Adam Lowry · 1st 04:28 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
2
Justin Barron · 1st 05:05 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (25%)
3
Adam Lowry · 2nd 00:15 · 1–2 · wrap around shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Nino Niederreiter · 2nd 00:33 · 1–3 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Sean Monahan · 2nd 08:23 · 2–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
6
Joel Armia · 3rd 01:54 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Canadiens win 29.
MTL 29%WPG 71%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Adam Lowry · 1st 04:28 · PS · 0–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
2
Justin Barron · 1st 05:05 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (25%)
3
Adam Lowry · 2nd 00:15 · 1–2
Wrap around shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Nino Niederreiter · 2nd 00:33 · 1–3
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Sean Monahan · 2nd 08:23 · PP · 2–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
6
Joel Armia · 3rd 01:54 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Canadiens
Goaltending
42/45 saves · 3 GA · 4.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.