MTL
3–5
TBL
Final · L
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 5-5-2
3–5
FinalL
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 6-3-4
1ST2ND3RDT
MTL
0508313326
TBL
4908115532
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Canadiens trail the season series 0–1
MTL 5-5-2 · TBL 6-3-4 · First meeting this season — the Canadiens trail the season series 0–1
Canadiens fell to the Lightning
Chances were even (3.6 to 3.7 expected goals); the Canadiens lost 3–5. Jake Allen allowed 3.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.6 expected goals to 3.7, on 26 and 32 shots on goal.
MTL 3.6 xG · 26 shots
TBL 3.7 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.9 · 1.0
2nd
1.1 · 1.3
3rd
1.6 · 1.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 00:22 · 0–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Nick Paul · 1st 07:15 · 0–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Alex Barré-Boulet · 1st 09:09 · 0–3 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Michael Eyssimont · 1st 13:50 · 0–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Nick Suzuki · 3rd 06:50 · 1–4 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
· 3rd 07:24 · 2–4 · slap shot on a rebound, a great chance (36%)
7
Nick Paul · 3rd 17:40 · 2–5 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (38%)
8
Christian Dvorak · 3rd 19:41 · 3–5 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Canadiens win 48.
MTL 48%TBL 52%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Canadiens shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 00:22 · 0–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Nick Paul · 1st 07:15 · 0–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Alex Barré-Boulet · 1st 09:09 · PP · 0–3
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Michael Eyssimont · 1st 13:50 · GWG · 0–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Nick Suzuki · 3rd 06:50 · PP · 1–4
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
· 3rd 07:24 · 2–4
Slap shot on a rebound, a great chance (36%)
7
Nick Paul · 3rd 17:40 · PP · 2–5
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (38%)
8
Christian Dvorak · 3rd 19:41 · 3–5
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1st period
2
Steven Stamkos, Victor Hedman · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
0–2
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
22/23 saves · 1 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
5/9 saves · 4 GA · 0.8 xGA
Allowed 3.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
