Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 7-6-2
2–5
FinalL
Vancouver Canucks
VAN · 11-3-1
1ST2ND3RDT
MTL
0908215232
VAN
08314215537
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Canadiens trail the season series 0–1
MTL 7-6-2 · VAN 11-3-1 · First meeting this season — the Canadiens trail the season series 0–1
Canadiens fell to the Canucks
Chances were even (3.0 to 3.1 expected goals); the Canadiens lost 2–5. Casey DeSmith stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.0 expected goals to 3.1, on 32 and 37 shots on goal.
MTL 3.0 xG · 32 shots
VAN 3.1 xG · 37 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 0.6
2nd
0.9 · 1.2
3rd
1.7 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Conor Garland · 2nd 06:15 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Ilya Mikheyev · 2nd 09:17 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Dakota Joshua · 2nd 17:57 · 0–3 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
4
Mike Matheson · 3rd 06:46 · 1–3 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
5
Brock Boeser · 3rd 18:30 · 1–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
6
Arber Xhekaj · 3rd 19:11 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
· 3rd 19:42 · 2–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Canadiens win 49.
MTL 49%VAN 51%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Conor Garland · 2nd 06:15 · 0–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Ilya Mikheyev · 2nd 09:17 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Dakota Joshua · 2nd 17:57 · GWG · 0–3
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
4
Mike Matheson · 3rd 06:46 · PP · 1–3
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
5
Brock Boeser · 3rd 18:30 · EN · 1–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
6
Arber Xhekaj · 3rd 19:11 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
· 3rd 19:42 · EN · 2–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/35 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
30/32 saves · 2 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.