Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 10-11-3
4–5
Final / OTL
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 13-7-3
1ST2ND3RDOTT
MTL
171821500430
DET
3111901013533
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
MTL 10-11-3 · DET 13-7-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Canadiens fell to the Red Wings
The Canadiens were outchanced (4.7 to 2.4 expected goals) and lost it in overtime on Walman's goal. Ville Husso allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Red Wings created the better chances: 4.7 expected goals to 2.4, on 33 and 30 shots on goal.
MTL 2.4 xG · 30 shots
DET 4.7 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st · the swing
0.7 · 1.8
2nd
0.9 · 1.6
3rd
0.9 · 0.8
OT
0.0 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Joseph Veleno · 1st 07:21 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Christian Fischer · 1st 11:44 · 0–2 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (56%)
3
Daniel Sprong · 1st 19:20 · 0–3 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Justin Barron · 1st 19:53 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Joel Armia · 2nd 04:07 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Alex DeBrincat · 2nd 04:54 · 2–4 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Nick Suzuki · 3rd 04:12 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Gustav Lindstrom · 3rd 16:01 · 4–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
9
Jake Walman · OT 00:54 · 4–5 · slap shot, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Canadiens win 20.
MTL 20%DET 80%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Joseph Veleno · 1st 07:21 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Christian Fischer · 1st 11:44 · SH · 0–2
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (56%)
3
Daniel Sprong · 1st 19:20 · 0–3
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Justin Barron · 1st 19:53 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Joel Armia · 2nd 04:07 · SH · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Alex DeBrincat · 2nd 04:54 · PP · 2–4
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Nick Suzuki · 3rd 04:12 · PP · 3–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Gustav Lindstrom · 3rd 16:01 · 4–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
9
Jake Walman · OT 00:54 · GWG · 4–5
Slap shot, a good chance (12%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
28/33 saves · 5 GA · 4.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
26/30 saves · 4 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.