Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 12-13-4
3–4
Final / SOL
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 13-12-3
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
MTL
31507011090342
PIT
11121503011430
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Canadiens trail the season series 0–1
MTL 12-13-4 · PIT 13-12-3 · First meeting this season — the Canadiens trail the season series 0–1
Canadiens fell to the Penguins
The Canadiens let a 2–0 lead get away: the Penguins came back with three unanswered goals — Crosby's equalizer — and won it in a shootout. Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 2.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Canadiens created the better chances: 5.4 expected goals to 2.6, on 42 and 30 shots on goal.
MTL 5.4 xG · 42 shots
PIT 2.6 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
1st
1.9 · 1.1
2nd
0.9 · 1.3
3rd · the swing
1.3 · 0.1
OT
1.3 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
David Savard · 1st 06:24 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Jayden Struble · 1st 12:21 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Sidney Crosby · 1st 13:48 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Sean Monahan · 1st 15:20 · 3–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (59%)
5
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 05:36 · 3–2 · slap shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Sidney Crosby · 2nd 11:02 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Canadiens win 84.
MTL 84%PIT 16%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
David Savard · 1st 06:24 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Jayden Struble · 1st 12:21 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Sidney Crosby · 1st 13:48 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Sean Monahan · 1st 15:20 · PP · 3–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (59%)
5
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 05:36 · PP · 3–2
Slap shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Sidney Crosby · 2nd 11:02 · PP · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Penguins
Goaltending
27/30 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
39/42 saves · 3 GA · 5.4 xGA
Stopped 2.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.