MTL
5–3
NYI
Final · W
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 13-13-4
5–3
FinalW
New York Islanders
NYI · 14-8-8
1ST2ND3RDT
MTL
01542115541
NYI
01006317333
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Canadiens lead the season series 1–0
MTL 13-13-4 · NYI 14-8-8 · First meeting this season — the Canadiens lead the season series 1–0
Canadiens beat the Islanders
The Canadiens earned it: 3.3 expected goals to 2.8, and a 5–3 win to show for it. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Canadiens created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 2.8, on 41 and 33 shots on goal.
MTL 3.3 xG · 41 shots
NYI 2.8 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.6
2nd · the swing
1.7 · 0.8
3rd
0.7 · 1.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Joel Armia · 2nd 07:45 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Josh Anderson · 2nd 10:35 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Josh Anderson · 2nd 19:06 · 3–0 · backhand shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Cole Caufield · 2nd 19:21 · 4–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Brock Nelson · 3rd 02:07 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Brock Nelson · 3rd 03:43 · 4–2 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Bo Horvat · 3rd 14:06 · 4–3 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
8
Christian Dvorak · 3rd 19:40 · 5–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Canadiens win 58.
MTL 58%NYI 42%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Canadiens shoot this way
Islanders shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Joel Armia · 2nd 07:45 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Josh Anderson · 2nd 10:35 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Josh Anderson · 2nd 19:06 · 3–0
Backhand shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Cole Caufield · 2nd 19:21 · GWG · 4–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Brock Nelson · 3rd 02:07 · SH · 4–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Brock Nelson · 3rd 03:43 · 4–2
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Bo Horvat · 3rd 14:06 · 4–3
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
8
Christian Dvorak · 3rd 19:40 · EN · 5–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3
Sean Monahan, Justin Barron · backhand shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3–0
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
30/33 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
36/40 saves · 4 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
