Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 18-18-7
4–3
FinalW
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 28-13-3
1ST2ND3RDT
MTL
11611028434
COL
11311319335
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Canadiens lead the season series 1–0
MTL 18-18-7 · COL 28-13-3 · First meeting this season — the Canadiens lead the season series 1–0
Canadiens beat the Avalanche
Chances were even (2.7 to 3.0 expected goals); the Canadiens won 4–3. Alexandar Georgiev allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.7 expected goals to 3.0, on 34 and 35 shots on goal.
MTL 2.7 xG · 34 shots
COL 3.0 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 0.9
2nd
0.9 · 1.2
3rd
0.6 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ross Colton · 1st 04:28 · 0–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Juraj Slafkovský · 1st 07:17 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (39%)
3
Cale Makar · 2nd 01:01 · 1–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
· 2nd 16:08 · 2–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (34%)
5
Cole Caufield · 3rd 01:52 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
6
Devon Toews · 3rd 09:37 · 3–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Joel Armia · 3rd 15:50 · 4–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Canadiens win 45.
MTL 45%COL 55%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ross Colton · 1st 04:28 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Juraj Slafkovský · 1st 07:17 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (39%)
3
Cale Makar · 2nd 01:01 · 1–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
· 2nd 16:08 · 2–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (34%)
5
Cole Caufield · 3rd 01:52 · PP · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
6
Devon Toews · 3rd 09:37 · 3–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Joel Armia · 3rd 15:50 · GWG · 4–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
1st period
1
Jonathan Drouin, Cale Makar · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
0–1
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/35 saves · 3 GA · 3.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
30/34 saves · 4 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.