MTL
4–3
NYI
Final · W
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 20-21-7
4–3
FinalW
New York Islanders
NYI · 20-17-11
1ST2ND3RDT
MTL
3130716426
NYI
012118216346
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Canadiens lead the season series 2–0
MTL 20-21-7 · NYI 20-17-11 · Meeting 2 this season — the Canadiens lead the season series 2–0
Canadiens beat the Islanders
The Canadiens were outchanced (5.9 to 3.3 expected goals) but won 4–3 anyway. Monahan's winner came with 2:12 left. Samuel Montembeault stopped 2.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Islanders created the better chances: 5.9 expected goals to 3.3, on 46 and 26 shots on goal.
MTL 3.3 xG · 26 shots
NYI 5.9 xG · 46 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
1st
2.1 · 1.4
2nd
0.5 · 1.9
3rd · the swing
0.6 · 2.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nick Suzuki · 1st 07:06 · 1–0 · deflected shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Cole Caufield · 1st 11:36 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a great chance (28%)
3
Sean Monahan · 1st 12:19 · 3–0 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Bo Horvat · 2nd 03:02 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Mathew Barzal · 3rd 14:52 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Kyle Palmieri · 3rd 16:28 · 3–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Sean Monahan · 3rd 17:48 · 4–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Canadiens win 20.
MTL 20%NYI 80%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Canadiens shoot this way
Islanders shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nick Suzuki · 1st 07:06 · PP · 1–0
Deflected shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Cole Caufield · 1st 11:36 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a great chance (28%)
3
Sean Monahan · 1st 12:19 · PP · 3–0
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Bo Horvat · 2nd 03:02 · PP · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Mathew Barzal · 3rd 14:52 · PP · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Kyle Palmieri · 3rd 16:28 · PP · 3–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Sean Monahan · 3rd 17:48 · GWG · 4–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
6
Noah Dobson, Bo Horvat · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3–3
No penalties
Goaltending
43/46 saves · 3 GA · 5.9 xGA
Stopped 2.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
22/26 saves · 4 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
