MTL
2–3
BUF
Final · L
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 22-26-8
2–3
FinalL
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 25-27-4
1ST2ND3RDT
MTL
19111011231
BUF
0831104323
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
MTL 22-26-8 · BUF 25-27-4 · Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
Canadiens fell to the Sabres
Chances were even (2.8 to 2.5 expected goals); the Canadiens lost 2–3.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.8 expected goals to 2.5, on 31 and 23 shots on goal.
MTL 2.8 xG · 31 shots
BUF 2.5 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.3 · 0.9
2nd · the swing
0.4 · 1.4
3rd
1.1 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Arber Xhekaj · 1st 12:41 · 1–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Zemgus Girgensons · 2nd 04:20 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Jayden Struble · 2nd 06:35 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
· 2nd 09:28 · 2–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
5
Alex Tuch · 2nd 18:08 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Canadiens win 56.
MTL 56%BUF 44%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Canadiens shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Arber Xhekaj · 1st 12:41 · 1–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Zemgus Girgensons · 2nd 04:20 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Jayden Struble · 2nd 06:35 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
· 2nd 09:28 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
5
Alex Tuch · 2nd 18:08 · SH · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
20/23 saves · 3 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 0.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
29/31 saves · 2 GA · 2.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
