Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 24-30-10
2–3
FinalL
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 37-19-8
1ST2ND3RDT
MTL
1901319231
TOR
0921018327
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Canadiens trail the season series 0–2
MTL 24-30-10 · TOR 37-19-8 · Meeting 2 this season — the Canadiens trail the season series 0–2
Canadiens fell to the Maple Leafs
Chances were even (2.3 to 2.2 expected goals); the Canadiens lost 2–3.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.3 expected goals to 2.2, on 31 and 27 shots on goal.
MTL 2.3 xG · 31 shots
TOR 2.2 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.8 · 0.7
2nd
0.8 · 0.9
3rd
0.6 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mike Matheson · 1st 00:38 · 1–0 · backhand shot off the rush, a great chance (43%)
2
Bobby McMann · 2nd 00:39 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Max Domi · 2nd 18:41 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Alex Newhook · 3rd 05:05 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
5
John Tavares · 3rd 13:14 · 2–3 · deflected shot on a rebound, a great chance (28%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Canadiens win 51.
MTL 51%TOR 49%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mike Matheson · 1st 00:38 · 1–0
Backhand shot off the rush, a great chance (43%)
2
Bobby McMann · 2nd 00:39 · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Max Domi · 2nd 18:41 · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Alex Newhook · 3rd 05:05 · PP · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
5
John Tavares · 3rd 13:14 · GWG · 2–3
Deflected shot on a rebound, a great chance (28%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
29/31 saves · 2 GA · 2.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.