Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 28-32-12
4–1
FinalW
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 36-28-10
1ST2ND3RDT
MTL
260625417
PHI
0509116130
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
MTL 28-32-12 · PHI 36-28-10 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Canadiens beat the Flyers
The Canadiens were outchanced (2.7 to 1.8 expected goals) but won 4–1 anyway. Cayden Primeau stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flyers created the better chances: 2.7 expected goals to 1.8, on 30 and 17 shots on goal.
MTL 1.8 xG · 17 shots
PHI 2.7 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.3
2nd
0.7 · 0.6
3rd · the swing
0.3 · 1.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nick Suzuki · 1st 12:58 · 1–0 · snap shot, a great chance (31%)
2
Jesse Ylonen · 1st 16:46 · 2–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
3
Joel Armia · 3rd 17:05 · 3–0 · wrist shot, into an empty net
4
Owen Tippett · 3rd 18:59 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Jake Evans · 3rd 19:56 · 4–1 · backhand shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Canadiens win 33.
MTL 33%PHI 67%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nick Suzuki · 1st 12:58 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot, a great chance (31%)
2
Jesse Ylonen · 1st 16:46 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
3
Joel Armia · 3rd 17:05 · EN · 3–0
Wrist shot, into an empty net
4
Owen Tippett · 3rd 18:59 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Jake Evans · 3rd 19:56 · EN · 4–1
Backhand shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
29/30 saves · 1 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
13/15 saves · 2 GA · 1.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.