MTL
5–3
FLA
Final · W
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 29-33-12
5–3
FinalW
Florida Panthers
FLA · 47-24-5
1ST2ND3RDT
MTL
114212212538
FLA
21207121340
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Canadiens trail the season series 1–3
MTL 29-33-12 · FLA 47-24-5 · Meeting 4 this season — the Canadiens trail the season series 1–3
Canadiens beat the Panthers
The Canadiens earned it: 4.9 expected goals to 4.4, and a 5–3 win to show for it. Samuel Montembeault stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Canadiens created the better chances: 4.9 expected goals to 4.4, on 38 and 40 shots on goal.
MTL 4.9 xG · 38 shots
FLA 4.4 xG · 40 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.5 · 1.1
2nd · the swing
1.7 · 0.8
3rd
1.7 · 2.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Anton Lundell · 1st 09:16 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Joel Armia · 1st 10:12 · 1–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Aleksander Barkov · 1st 13:13 · 1–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Nick Suzuki · 2nd 05:58 · 2–2 · snap shot, a great chance (29%)
5
Nick Suzuki · 2nd 12:24 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Cole Caufield · 3rd 00:33 · 4–2 · wrap around shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Jake Evans · 3rd 04:34 · 5–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
8
Sam Bennett · 3rd 18:44 · 5–3 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Canadiens win 57.
MTL 57%FLA 43%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Canadiens shoot this way
Panthers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Anton Lundell · 1st 09:16 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Joel Armia · 1st 10:12 · 1–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Aleksander Barkov · 1st 13:13 · 1–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Nick Suzuki · 2nd 05:58 · 2–2
Snap shot, a great chance (29%)
5
Nick Suzuki · 2nd 12:24 · PP · 3–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Cole Caufield · 3rd 00:33 · GWG · 4–2
Wrap around shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Jake Evans · 3rd 04:34 · SH · 5–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
8
Sam Bennett · 3rd 18:44 · 5–3
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
37/40 saves · 3 GA · 4.4 xGA
Stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
33/38 saves · 5 GA · 4.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
