MTL
4–7
TBL
Final · L
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 29-34-12
4–7
FinalL
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 43-26-7
1ST2ND3RDT
MTL
1816216430
TBL
2842017735
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Canadiens trail the season series 0–4
MTL 29-34-12 · TBL 43-26-7 · Meeting 4 this season — the Canadiens trail the season series 0–4
Canadiens fell to the Lightning
Chances were even (3.1 to 3.0 expected goals); the Canadiens lost 4–7. Cayden Primeau allowed 3.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.1 expected goals to 3.0, on 30 and 35 shots on goal.
MTL 3.1 xG · 30 shots
TBL 3.0 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 1.1
2nd
0.8 · 1.5
3rd · the swing
1.5 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Joel Armia · 1st 02:37 · 1–0 · bat shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
2
Nick Paul · 1st 09:45 · 1–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (49%)
3
Michael Eyssimont · 1st 16:26 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Joel Armia · 2nd 04:42 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 07:58 · 2–3 · slap shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Nick Paul · 2nd 09:12 · 2–4 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Brandon Hagel · 2nd 13:18 · 2–5 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
8
Nikita Kucherov · 2nd 17:45 · 2–6 · slap shot, a good chance (18%)
9
Juraj Slafkovský · 3rd 08:40 · 3–6 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
10
Cole Caufield · 3rd 11:51 · 4–6 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
11
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 19:06 · 4–7 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Canadiens win 51.
MTL 51%TBL 49%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 0 penalties← Canadiens shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Joel Armia · 1st 02:37 · 1–0
Bat shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
2
Nick Paul · 1st 09:45 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (49%)
3
Michael Eyssimont · 1st 16:26 · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Joel Armia · 2nd 04:42 · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 07:58 · 2–3
Slap shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Nick Paul · 2nd 09:12 · 2–4
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Brandon Hagel · 2nd 13:18 · GWG · 2–5
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
8
Nikita Kucherov · 2nd 17:45 · PP · 2–6
Slap shot, a good chance (18%)
9
Juraj Slafkovský · 3rd 08:40 · 3–6
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
10
Cole Caufield · 3rd 11:51 · 4–6
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
11
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 19:06 · EN · 4–7
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/34 saves · 6 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 3.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
26/30 saves · 4 GA · 3.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
