MTL
2–4
TOR
Final · L
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 29-35-12
2–4
FinalL
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 44-23-9
1ST2ND3RDT
MTL
092809226
TOR
0441808430
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Canadiens trail the season series 0–3
MTL 29-35-12 · TOR 44-23-9 · Meeting 3 this season — the Canadiens trail the season series 0–3
Canadiens fell to the Maple Leafs
The Canadiens were outchanced (3.4 to 2.8 expected goals) and lost 2–4. Samuel Montembeault allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 2.8, on 30 and 26 shots on goal.
MTL 2.8 xG · 26 shots
TOR 3.4 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.8
2nd · the swing
0.7 · 1.7
3rd
1.0 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Max Domi · 2nd 02:21 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Auston Matthews · 2nd 02:38 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Matthew Knies · 2nd 07:20 · 0–3 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
4
Bobby McMann · 2nd 07:54 · 0–4 · snap shot, a great chance (26%)
5
Nick Suzuki · 2nd 09:05 · 1–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Cole Caufield · 2nd 18:32 · 2–4 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Canadiens win 40.
MTL 40%TOR 60%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Canadiens shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Max Domi · 2nd 02:21 · 0–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Auston Matthews · 2nd 02:38 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Matthew Knies · 2nd 07:20 · GWG · 0–3
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
4
Bobby McMann · 2nd 07:54 · 0–4
Snap shot, a great chance (26%)
5
Nick Suzuki · 2nd 09:05 · PP · 1–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Cole Caufield · 2nd 18:32 · 2–4
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
18/18 saves · 0 GA · 1.9 xGA
Stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
8/12 saves · 4 GA · 1.5 xGA
Allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
