MTL
2–3
CGY
Final / OT · L
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 4-7-2
2–3
Final / OTL
Calgary Flames
CGY · 7-5-1
1ST2ND3RDOTT
MTL
015161300224
CGY
0911311211335
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Canadiens trail the season series 0–1
MTL 4-7-2 · CGY 7-5-1 · First meeting this season — the Canadiens trail the season series 0–1
Canadiens fell to the Flames
The Canadiens created the better chances (4.1 to 3.3 expected goals) — and lost it in overtime on Coronato's goal. Dustin Wolf stopped 2.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Canadiens created the better chances: 4.1 expected goals to 3.3, on 24 and 35 shots on goal.
MTL 4.1 xG · 24 shots
CGY 3.3 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
2.5 · 0.5
2nd
0.5 · 1.2
3rd
1.0 · 1.4
OT
0.0 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Connor Zary · 2nd 04:20 · 0–1 · snap shot, a great chance (27%)
2
Brendan Gallagher · 2nd 16:23 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Joel Armia · 3rd 05:56 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Matt Coronato · 3rd 17:14 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Matt Coronato · OT 00:07 · 2–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Canadiens win 62.
MTL 62%CGY 38%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Canadiens shoot this way
Flames shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Connor Zary · 2nd 04:20 · 0–1
Snap shot, a great chance (27%)
2
Brendan Gallagher · 2nd 16:23 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Joel Armia · 3rd 05:56 · SH · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Matt Coronato · 3rd 17:14 · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Matt Coronato · OT 00:07 · GWG · 2–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
5
Unassisted · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2–3
No penalties
Goaltending
32/35 saves · 3 GA · 3.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
22/24 saves · 2 GA · 4.1 xGA
Stopped 2.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
