Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 10-14-3
2–4
FinalL
Washington Capitals
WSH · 19-6-2
1ST2ND3RDT
MTL
2100509224
WSH
0918318435
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Canadiens trail the season series 0–2
MTL 10-14-3 · WSH 19-6-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the Canadiens trail the season series 0–2
Canadiens fell to the Capitals
The Canadiens let a 2–0 lead get away: the Capitals came back with four unanswered goals — Wilson's equalizer — and won 2–4.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Capitals created the better chances: 4.0 expected goals to 2.6, on 35 and 24 shots on goal.
MTL 2.6 xG · 24 shots
WSH 4.0 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.9 · 1.4
2nd
0.5 · 0.7
3rd
1.2 · 1.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alex Newhook · 1st 11:09 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Cole Caufield · 1st 16:00 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Pierre-Luc Dubois · 2nd 00:33 · 2–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Tom Wilson · 3rd 07:10 · 2–2 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (25%)
5
Tom Wilson · 3rd 11:48 · 2–3 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
6
Dylan Strome · 3rd 13:49 · 2–4 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Canadiens win 30.
MTL 30%WSH 70%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alex Newhook · 1st 11:09 · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Cole Caufield · 1st 16:00 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Pierre-Luc Dubois · 2nd 00:33 · 2–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Tom Wilson · 3rd 07:10 · 2–2
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (25%)
5
Tom Wilson · 3rd 11:48 · GWG · 2–3
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
6
Dylan Strome · 3rd 13:49 · PP · 2–4
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
31/35 saves · 4 GA · 4.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
22/24 saves · 2 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.