MTL
6–1
BUF
Final · W
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 12-16-3
6–1
FinalW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 11-17-4
1ST2ND3RDT
MTL
21141006627
BUF
0311008121
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Canadiens lead the season series 2–0
MTL 12-16-3 · BUF 11-17-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the Canadiens lead the season series 2–0
Canadiens beat the Sabres
Chances were even (3.2 to 2.7 expected goals); the Canadiens won 6–1. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen allowed 3.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.2 expected goals to 2.7, on 27 and 21 shots on goal.
MTL 3.2 xG · 27 shots
BUF 2.7 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.3 · 0.7
2nd
1.4 · 1.0
3rd
0.5 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Joel Armia · 1st 00:19 · 1–0 · snap shot, a great chance (26%)
2
Patrik Laine · 1st 06:26 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Dylan Cozens · 2nd 03:43 · 2–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Juraj Slafkovský · 2nd 05:54 · 3–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
5
Patrik Laine · 2nd 09:45 · 4–1 · slap shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Patrik Laine · 2nd 10:55 · 5–1 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Josh Anderson · 2nd 19:15 · 6–1 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Canadiens win 57.
MTL 57%BUF 43%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Canadiens shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Joel Armia · 1st 00:19 · 1–0
Snap shot, a great chance (26%)
2
Patrik Laine · 1st 06:26 · PP · GWG · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Dylan Cozens · 2nd 03:43 · 2–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Juraj Slafkovský · 2nd 05:54 · 3–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
5
Patrik Laine · 2nd 09:45 · PP · 4–1
Slap shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Patrik Laine · 2nd 10:55 · PP · 5–1
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Josh Anderson · 2nd 19:15 · 6–1
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
20/21 saves · 1 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
15/21 saves · 6 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 3.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
