Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 24-21-5
1–4
FinalL
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 35-14-3
1ST2ND3RDT
MTL
1150307125
WPG
1721314424
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Canadiens trail the season series 0–2
MTL 24-21-5 · WPG 35-14-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the Canadiens trail the season series 0–2
Canadiens fell to the Jets
Chances were even (2.5 to 2.5 expected goals); the Canadiens lost 1–4. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.5, on 25 and 24 shots on goal.
MTL 2.5 xG · 25 shots
WPG 2.5 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.9 · 0.8
2nd
0.6 · 1.3
3rd
0.9 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Juraj Slafkovský · 1st 11:03 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Kyle Connor · 1st 15:36 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Mark Scheifele · 2nd 10:44 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Kyle Connor · 2nd 19:58 · 1–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Rasmus Kupari · 3rd 18:15 · 1–4 · backhand shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Canadiens win 49.
MTL 49%WPG 51%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Juraj Slafkovský · 1st 11:03 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Kyle Connor · 1st 15:36 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Mark Scheifele · 2nd 10:44 · GWG · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Kyle Connor · 2nd 19:58 · 1–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Rasmus Kupari · 3rd 18:15 · EN · 1–4
Backhand shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
20/23 saves · 3 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
24/25 saves · 1 GA · 2.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.