MTL
3–5
TBL
Final · L
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 25-26-5
3–5
FinalL
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 31-20-4
1ST2ND3RDT
MTL
11319113335
TBL
262817521
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Canadiens lead the season series 2–1
MTL 25-26-5 · TBL 31-20-4 · Meeting 3 this season — the Canadiens lead the season series 2–1
Canadiens fell to the Lightning
The Canadiens created the better chances (4.2 to 2.8 expected goals) — and lost 3–5. Jakub Dobes allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Canadiens created the better chances: 4.2 expected goals to 2.8, on 35 and 21 shots on goal.
MTL 4.2 xG · 35 shots
TBL 2.8 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.7 · 0.5
2nd
0.7 · 1.9
3rd · the swing
1.8 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nick Paul · 1st 06:56 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Victor Hedman · 1st 10:28 · 0–2 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Brendan Gallagher · 1st 18:53 · 1–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Brayden Point · 2nd 01:05 · 1–3 · snap shot, a great chance (29%)
5
Zemgus Girgensons · 2nd 06:43 · 1–4 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
6
Christian Dvorak · 2nd 12:45 · 2–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Brendan Gallagher · 3rd 09:19 · 3–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Anthony Cirelli · 3rd 19:44 · 3–5 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Canadiens win 70.
MTL 70%TBL 30%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Canadiens shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nick Paul · 1st 06:56 · 0–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Victor Hedman · 1st 10:28 · 0–2
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Brendan Gallagher · 1st 18:53 · PP · 1–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Brayden Point · 2nd 01:05 · PP · 1–3
Snap shot, a great chance (29%)
5
Zemgus Girgensons · 2nd 06:43 · GWG · 1–4
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
6
Christian Dvorak · 2nd 12:45 · 2–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Brendan Gallagher · 3rd 09:19 · 3–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Anthony Cirelli · 3rd 19:44 · EN · 3–5
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
7
Unassisted · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3–4
No penalties
Goaltending
11/12 saves · 1 GA · 1.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
5/8 saves · 3 GA · 1.2 xGA
Allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
