MTL
4–3
BUF
Final / OT · W
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 30-26-5
4–3
Final / OTW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 24-29-6
1ST2ND3RDOTT
MTL
38060511420
BUF
0911421300336
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Canadiens lead the season series 4–0
MTL 30-26-5 · BUF 24-29-6 · Meeting 4 this season — the Canadiens lead the season series 4–0
Canadiens beat the Sabres
The Canadiens were outchanced (4.9 to 3.0 expected goals) but won it in overtime on Matheson's goal anyway. Samuel Montembeault stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sabres created the better chances: 4.9 expected goals to 3.0, on 36 and 20 shots on goal.
MTL 3.0 xG · 20 shots
BUF 4.9 xG · 36 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.7 · 1.4
2nd · the swing
0.6 · 2.1
3rd
0.7 · 1.4
OT
0.1 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Cole Caufield · 1st 09:42 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Nick Suzuki · 1st 11:41 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Juraj Slafkovský · 1st 13:42 · 3–0 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Alex Tuch · 2nd 18:07 · 3–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
5
Tage Thompson · 3rd 03:24 · 3–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Rasmus Dahlin · 3rd 18:59 · 3–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Mike Matheson · OT 01:21 · 4–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Canadiens win 26.
MTL 26%BUF 74%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Canadiens shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Cole Caufield · 1st 09:42 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Nick Suzuki · 1st 11:41 · SH · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Juraj Slafkovský · 1st 13:42 · PP · 3–0
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Alex Tuch · 2nd 18:07 · 3–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
5
Tage Thompson · 3rd 03:24 · 3–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Rasmus Dahlin · 3rd 18:59 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Mike Matheson · OT 01:21 · GWG · 4–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
33/36 saves · 3 GA · 4.9 xGA
Stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
16/20 saves · 4 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
