Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 35-30-9
3–2
Final / OTW
Florida Panthers
FLA · 44-26-4
1ST2ND3RDOTT
MTL
19071411321
FLA
151130900227
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Canadiens lead the season series 4–0
MTL 35-30-9 · FLA 44-26-4 · Meeting 4 this season — the Canadiens lead the season series 4–0
Canadiens beat the Panthers
The Canadiens earned it: 3.1 expected goals to 2.6, and they won it in overtime on Suzuki's goal.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Canadiens created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 2.6, on 21 and 27 shots on goal.
MTL 3.1 xG · 21 shots
FLA 2.6 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.3
2nd
0.9 · 1.3
3rd
1.0 · 1.0
OT
0.2 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Josh Anderson · 1st 04:43 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Niko Mikkola · 1st 10:37 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Mackie Samoskevich · 2nd 18:47 · 1–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Nick Suzuki · 3rd 19:51 · 2–2 · backhand shot, a great chance (58%)
5
Nick Suzuki · OT 00:29 · 3–2 · wrap around shot, a good chance (25%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Canadiens win 59.
MTL 59%FLA 41%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Josh Anderson · 1st 04:43 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Niko Mikkola · 1st 10:37 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Mackie Samoskevich · 2nd 18:47 · PP · 1–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Nick Suzuki · 3rd 19:51 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–2
Backhand shot, a great chance (58%)
5
Nick Suzuki · OT 00:29 · GWG · 3–2
Wrap around shot, a good chance (25%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
25/27 saves · 2 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
18/21 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.