Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 39-30-9
4–1
FinalW
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 36-34-7
1ST2ND3RDT
MTL
0417310421
DET
1230904136
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Canadiens lead the season series 3–1
MTL 39-30-9 · DET 36-34-7 · Meeting 4 this season — the Canadiens lead the season series 3–1
Canadiens beat the Red Wings
The Canadiens were outchanced (4.0 to 1.9 expected goals) but won 4–1 anyway. Samuel Montembeault stopped 3.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Red Wings created the better chances: 4.0 expected goals to 1.9, on 36 and 21 shots on goal.
MTL 1.9 xG · 21 shots
DET 4.0 xG · 36 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
0.4 · 2.1
2nd
0.8 · 1.2
3rd
0.7 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dylan Larkin · 1st 09:54 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Cole Caufield · 2nd 16:29 · 1–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (15%)
3
Josh Anderson · 3rd 10:48 · 2–1 · snap shot, a great chance (28%)
4
Brendan Gallagher · 3rd 18:54 · 3–1 · snap shot, into an empty net
5
Nick Suzuki · 3rd 19:07 · 4–1 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Canadiens win 20.
MTL 20%DET 80%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dylan Larkin · 1st 09:54 · 0–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Cole Caufield · 2nd 16:29 · 1–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (15%)
3
Josh Anderson · 3rd 10:48 · GWG · 2–1
Snap shot, a great chance (28%)
4
Brendan Gallagher · 3rd 18:54 · EN · 3–1
Snap shot, into an empty net
5
Nick Suzuki · 3rd 19:07 · EN · 4–1
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
35/36 saves · 1 GA · 4.0 xGA
Stopped 3.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
17/19 saves · 2 GA · 1.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.