MTL
4–2
CAR
Final · W
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 40-31-11
4–2
FinalW
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 47-29-5
1ST2ND3RDT
MTL
192518422
CAR
14014111229
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Canadiens lead the season series 2–1
MTL 40-31-11 · CAR 47-29-5 · Meeting 3 this season — the Canadiens lead the season series 2–1
Canadiens beat the Hurricanes
The Canadiens were outchanced (3.2 to 2.6 expected goals) but won 4–2 anyway. Samuel Montembeault stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.6, on 29 and 22 shots on goal.
MTL 2.6 xG · 22 shots
CAR 3.2 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.7
2nd
0.7 · 1.0
3rd
0.9 · 1.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Kaiden Guhle · 1st 03:50 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Taylor Hall · 1st 09:56 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Nick Suzuki · 2nd 16:22 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Kaiden Guhle · 2nd 18:48 · 3–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Tyson Jost · 3rd 14:10 · 3–2 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (69%)
6
Jake Evans · 3rd 18:05 · 4–2 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Canadiens win 40.
MTL 40%CAR 60%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Canadiens shoot this way
Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Kaiden Guhle · 1st 03:50 · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Taylor Hall · 1st 09:56 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Nick Suzuki · 2nd 16:22 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Kaiden Guhle · 2nd 18:48 · GWG · 3–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Tyson Jost · 3rd 14:10 · 3–2
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (69%)
6
Jake Evans · 3rd 18:05 · EN · 4–2
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
27/29 saves · 2 GA · 3.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
18/21 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
