Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 1-2
6–3
FinalW
Washington Capitals
WSH · 2-1
1ST2ND3RDT
MTL
115211314640
WSH
171717321
goals · shots on goal
Game 3 — the Canadiens trail the series 1–2
MTL 1-2 · WSH 2-1 · Game 3 — the Canadiens trail the series 1–2
Canadiens beat the Capitals
The Canadiens earned it: 4.3 expected goals to 2.4, and a 6–3 win to show for it. Logan Thompson allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Canadiens created the better chances: 4.3 expected goals to 2.4, on 40 and 21 shots on goal.
MTL 4.3 xG · 40 shots
WSH 2.4 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.5 · 1.1
2nd · the swing
1.5 · 0.6
3rd
1.2 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Connor McMichael · 1st 03:20 · 0–1 · tip in shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
2
Alexandre Carrier · 1st 19:07 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Nick Suzuki · 2nd 08:37 · 2–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Jakob Chychrun · 2nd 10:47 · 2–2 · slap shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Cole Caufield · 2nd 19:51 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 02:39 · 3–3 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
7
Christian Dvorak · 3rd 04:17 · 4–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
8
Juraj Slafkovský · 3rd 13:23 · 5–3 · tip in shot, a great chance (27%)
9
Alex Newhook · 3rd 17:35 · 6–3 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Canadiens win 77.
MTL 77%WSH 23%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Connor McMichael · 1st 03:20 · 0–1
Tip in shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
2
Alexandre Carrier · 1st 19:07 · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Nick Suzuki · 2nd 08:37 · PP · 2–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Jakob Chychrun · 2nd 10:47 · 2–2
Slap shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Cole Caufield · 2nd 19:51 · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 02:39 · 3–3
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
7
Christian Dvorak · 3rd 04:17 · GWG · 4–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
8
Juraj Slafkovský · 3rd 13:23 · 5–3
Tip in shot, a great chance (27%)
9
Alex Newhook · 3rd 17:35 · PP · 6–3
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
11/13 saves · 2 GA · 1.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
7/8 saves · 1 GA · 0.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.