MTL
2–5
WSH
Final · L
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 1-3
2–5
FinalL
Washington Capitals
WSH · 3-1
1ST2ND3RDT
MTL
052409218
WSH
0611149526
goals · shots on goal
Game 4 — the Canadiens trail the series 1–3
MTL 1-3 · WSH 3-1 · Game 4 — the Canadiens trail the series 1–3
Canadiens fell to the Capitals
Chances were even (2.2 to 2.6 expected goals); the Canadiens lost 2–5. The Canadiens scored 2 power-play goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.2 expected goals to 2.6, on 18 and 26 shots on goal.
MTL 2.2 xG · 18 shots
WSH 2.6 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.4 · 0.9
2nd
0.9 · 1.3
3rd
0.9 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dylan Strome · 2nd 01:25 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Juraj Slafkovský · 2nd 10:33 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Cole Caufield · 2nd 18:32 · 2–1 · slap shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Brandon Duhaime · 3rd 06:39 · 2–2 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (12%)
5
Andrew Mangiapane · 3rd 16:23 · 2–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Brandon Duhaime · 3rd 17:21 · 2–4 · snap shot, into an empty net
7
Tom Wilson · 3rd 19:05 · 2–5 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Canadiens win 43.
MTL 43%WSH 57%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Canadiens shoot this way
Capitals shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dylan Strome · 2nd 01:25 · 0–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Juraj Slafkovský · 2nd 10:33 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Cole Caufield · 2nd 18:32 · PP · 2–1
Slap shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Brandon Duhaime · 3rd 06:39 · 2–2
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (12%)
5
Andrew Mangiapane · 3rd 16:23 · GWG · 2–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Brandon Duhaime · 3rd 17:21 · EN · 2–4
Snap shot, into an empty net
7
Tom Wilson · 3rd 19:05 · EN · 2–5
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
21/24 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
16/18 saves · 2 GA · 2.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
