Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 4-1-0
3–2
Final / OTW
Nashville Predators
NSH · 2-1-2
1ST2ND3RDOTT
MTL
0601021113330
NSH
06161403219
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Canadiens lead the season series 1–0
MTL 4-1-0 · NSH 2-1-2 · First meeting this season — the Canadiens lead the season series 1–0
Canadiens beat the Predators
The Canadiens earned it: 4.2 expected goals to 2.7, and they won it in overtime on Caufield's goal. Juuse Saros stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Canadiens created the better chances: 4.2 expected goals to 2.7, on 30 and 19 shots on goal.
MTL 4.2 xG · 30 shots
NSH 2.7 xG · 19 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.4 · 0.4
2nd
0.9 · 1.1
3rd · the swing
1.8 · 0.8
OT
1.1 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 11:36 · 0–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Oliver Kapanen · 3rd 06:02 · 1–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Nick Perbix · 3rd 11:21 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Cole Caufield · 3rd 19:40 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Cole Caufield · OT 04:57 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Canadiens win 72.
MTL 72%NSH 28%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 5 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 11:36 · PP · 0–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Oliver Kapanen · 3rd 06:02 · 1–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Nick Perbix · 3rd 11:21 · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Cole Caufield · 3rd 19:40 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Cole Caufield · OT 04:57 · GWG · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:27
Tyson Jost· Hooking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:46
Cole Smith· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:05
Zachary Bolduc· Hooking
Stamkos scored on this power play
Minor
1
Roman Josi, Luke Evangelista · Power play (Bolduc, hooking) · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
0–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:25
Ivan Demidov· Holding the stick
Killed
Minor
3rd period
2
Lane Hutson, Kaiden Guhle · snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:18
Michael McCarron· Tripping
Killed
Minor
Overtime
Goaltending
17/19 saves · 2 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
27/30 saves · 3 GA · 4.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Canadiens went 0-for-3 on the power play and allowed 1 on 2 Predators power plays.