MTL 4–2 BUF Final · W
Canadiens/Schedule/Recap Mon, Oct 20, 2025 · 2025-26 regular season
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 5-2-0
4–2
FinalW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 2-4-0
1ST2ND3RDT MTL 11404314432 BUF 06111115232 goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Canadiens lead the season series 1–0
MTL 5-2-0 · BUF 2-4-0 · First meeting this season — the Canadiens lead the season series 1–0

Canadiens beat the Sabres

The Canadiens were outchanced (4.2 to 3.1 expected goals) but won 4–2 anyway. Jakub Dobes stopped 2.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.

Who had the better chances

The Sabres created the better chances: 4.2 expected goals to 3.1, on 32 and 32 shots on goal.

MTL 3.1 xG · 32 shots BUF 4.2 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st 1.7 · 0.8
2nd 0.2 · 1.2
3rd · the swing 1.1 · 2.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Canadiens win 34.
MTL 34%BUF 66%

Goals and penalties

6 goals · 6 penalties
← Canadiens shoot this way Sabres shoot this way →
On net Missed Bigger = better chance 1Goal, numbered to the list
1st period
1
Ivan Demidov, Alex Newhook · backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
1–0
PEN
16:09 Juraj Slafkovský· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
PEN
16:09 Zach Metsa· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
2nd period
2
06:51 Jiri Kulich
Zach Benson · backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
1–1
PEN
10:49 Brendan Gallagher· Slashing
Killed
2 min
Minor
3rd period
3
Noah Dobson, Nick Suzuki · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
2–1
PEN
08:12 Zach Benson· Tripping
Killed
2 min
Minor
4
11:38 Lane Hutson GWG
Alex Newhook · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3–1
5
12:30 Tyson Kozak
Jack Quinn, Rasmus Dahlin · snap shot, a great chance (28%)
3–2
PEN
15:16 Juraj Slafkovský· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
PEN
15:16 Tage Thompson· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
6
19:29 Jake Evans EN
Nick Suzuki · snap shot, into an empty net
4–2
Goaltending
+2.2
vs expected
30/32 saves · 2 GA · 4.2 xGA Stopped 2.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
+0.1
vs expected
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
Team MTLBUF
Shots on goal
32
32
Expected goals
3.1
4.2
Hits
0
0
Blocks
0
0
Faceoffs
56%
44%
Power play
0/1
0/1
Penalty minutes
0
0
The Canadiens went 0-for-1 on the power play and killed all 1 Sabres power play.