Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 24-13-6
4–1
FinalW
Calgary Flames
CGY · 18-21-4
1ST2ND3RDT
MTL
014310112436
CGY
0711408129
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Canadiens lead the season series 2–0
MTL 24-13-6 · CGY 18-21-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the Canadiens lead the season series 2–0
Canadiens beat the Flames
The Canadiens earned it: 4.2 expected goals to 2.0, and a 4–1 win to show for it. Jacob Fowler stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Canadiens created the better chances: 4.2 expected goals to 2.0, on 36 and 29 shots on goal.
MTL 4.2 xG · 36 shots
CGY 2.0 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.8 · 0.6
2nd
1.6 · 0.9
3rd · the swing
1.7 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alexandre Texier · 2nd 03:10 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Lane Hutson · 2nd 07:05 · 2–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Oliver Kapanen · 2nd 08:12 · 3–0 · snap shot, a great chance (40%)
4
Joel Farabee · 2nd 17:39 · 3–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Cole Caufield · 3rd 03:56 · 4–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Canadiens win 81.
MTL 81%CGY 19%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 6 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alexandre Texier · 2nd 03:10 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Lane Hutson · 2nd 07:05 · GWG · 2–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Oliver Kapanen · 2nd 08:12 · 3–0
Snap shot, a great chance (40%)
4
Joel Farabee · 2nd 17:39 · 3–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Cole Caufield · 3rd 03:56 · 4–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:28
Jayden Struble· Roughing
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:55
Phillip Danault· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
08:55
Bench· Too many men on the ice
Killed
Bench minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:15
Arber Xhekaj· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
4
Yegor Sharangovich, Hunter Brzustewicz · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3–1
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:21
Brendan Gallagher· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:24
Rasmus Andersson· Hooking
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
28/29 saves · 1 GA · 2.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
32/36 saves · 4 GA · 4.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Canadiens went 0-for-2 on the power play and killed all 4 Flames power plays.