Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 25-14-6
0–4
FinalL
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 27-15-4
1ST2ND3RDT
MTL
0309015027
DET
0628210424
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
MTL 25-14-6 · DET 27-15-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Canadiens fell to the Red Wings
Chances were even (2.8 to 3.0 expected goals); the Canadiens lost 0–4. John Gibson stopped 2.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.8 expected goals to 3.0, on 27 and 24 shots on goal.
MTL 2.8 xG · 27 shots
DET 3.0 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.4 · 0.7
2nd
0.8 · 1.1
3rd
1.7 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Lucas Raymond · 2nd 04:52 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (25%)
2
Dylan Larkin · 2nd 11:43 · 0–2 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Alex DeBrincat · 3rd 00:34 · 0–3 · slap shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Andrew Copp · 3rd 18:53 · 0–4 · tip in shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Canadiens win 47.
MTL 47%DET 53%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 6 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Lucas Raymond · 2nd 04:52 · GWG · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (25%)
2
Dylan Larkin · 2nd 11:43 · PP · 0–2
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Alex DeBrincat · 3rd 00:34 · 0–3
Slap shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Andrew Copp · 3rd 18:53 · EN · 0–4
Tip in shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:59
Alexandre Carrier· Holding the stick
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:43
Brendan Gallagher· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:31
Alexandre Texier· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:30
Emmitt Finnie· Holding the stick
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
11:37
Bench· Too many men on the ice
Larkin scored on this power play
Bench minor
2
Alex DeBrincat, Moritz Seider · Power play (too many men on the ice) · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
0–2
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:48
Oliver Kapanen· Roughing
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
20/23 saves · 3 GA · 3.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
27/27 saves · 0 GA · 2.8 xGA
Stopped 2.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Canadiens went 0-for-1 on the power play and allowed 1 on 5 Red Wings power plays.