Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 30-17-7
7–3
FinalW
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 35-8-9
1ST2ND3RDT
MTL
3921227728
COL
15112112329
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
MTL 30-17-7 · COL 35-8-9 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Canadiens beat the Avalanche
Chances were even (3.4 to 3.1 expected goals); the Canadiens won 7–3. Scott Wedgewood allowed 3.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.4 expected goals to 3.1, on 28 and 29 shots on goal.
MTL 3.4 xG · 28 shots
COL 3.1 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 0.4
2nd
1.0 · 1.5
3rd
1.3 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Noah Dobson · 1st 00:56 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Brock Nelson · 1st 04:09 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Nick Suzuki · 1st 05:51 · 2–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
4
Nick Suzuki · 1st 07:33 · 3–1 · backhand shot, a great chance (30%)
5
Jake Evans · 2nd 16:36 · 4–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Kirby Dach · 2nd 17:16 · 5–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Joel Kiviranta · 2nd 18:06 · 5–2 · snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
8
Ross Colton · 3rd 04:38 · 5–3 · snap shot, a great chance (33%)
9
Alexandre Carrier · 3rd 05:45 · 6–3 · snap shot, a great chance (26%)
10
Juraj Slafkovský · 3rd 09:55 · 7–3 · snap shot, a great chance (38%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Canadiens win 54.
MTL 54%COL 46%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 6 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Noah Dobson · 1st 00:56 · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Brock Nelson · 1st 04:09 · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Nick Suzuki · 1st 05:51 · PP · 2–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
4
Nick Suzuki · 1st 07:33 · SH · 3–1
Backhand shot, a great chance (30%)
5
Jake Evans · 2nd 16:36 · GWG · 4–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Kirby Dach · 2nd 17:16 · 5–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Joel Kiviranta · 2nd 18:06 · 5–2
Snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
8
Ross Colton · 3rd 04:38 · 5–3
Snap shot, a great chance (33%)
9
Alexandre Carrier · 3rd 05:45 · 6–3
Snap shot, a great chance (26%)
10
Juraj Slafkovský · 3rd 09:55 · 7–3
Snap shot, a great chance (38%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:24
Keaton Middleton· Cross-checking
Suzuki scored on this power play
Minor
3
Ivan Demidov, Lane Hutson · Power play (Middleton, cross-checking) · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
2–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:14
Josh Anderson· Tripping
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:37
Cole Caufield· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:14
Sam Malinski· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
7
Sam Malinski, Jack Drury · snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5–2
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:39
Arber Xhekaj· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:39
Keaton Middleton· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
Goaltending
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
21/28 saves · 7 GA · 3.4 xGA
Allowed 3.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Canadiens went 1-for-2 on the power play and killed all 2 Avalanche power plays.