Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 38-21-10
7–3
FinalW
New York Islanders
NYI · 39-26-5
1ST2ND3RDT
MTL
11727412736
NYI
260818322
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
MTL 38-21-10 · NYI 39-26-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Canadiens beat the Islanders
The Canadiens earned it: 4.5 expected goals to 1.9, and a 7–3 win to show for it. Ilya Sorokin allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Canadiens created the better chances: 4.5 expected goals to 1.9, on 36 and 22 shots on goal.
MTL 4.5 xG · 36 shots
NYI 1.9 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st · the swing
2.6 · 0.7
2nd
0.9 · 0.6
3rd
1.0 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Juraj Slafkovský · 1st 04:10 · 1–0 · slap shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Emil Heineman · 1st 06:46 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Simon Holmstrom · 1st 13:19 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (29%)
4
Alex Newhook · 2nd 17:49 · 2–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Cole Caufield · 2nd 19:08 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Matthew Schaefer · 3rd 00:45 · 3–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
7
Kaiden Guhle · 3rd 03:17 · 4–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
8
Juraj Slafkovský · 3rd 08:08 · 5–3 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
9
Cole Caufield · 3rd 11:20 · 6–3 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
10
Cole Caufield · 3rd 14:59 · 7–3 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Canadiens win 85.
MTL 85%NYI 15%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 13 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Juraj Slafkovský · 1st 04:10 · PP · 1–0
Slap shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Emil Heineman · 1st 06:46 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Simon Holmstrom · 1st 13:19 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (29%)
4
Alex Newhook · 2nd 17:49 · 2–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Cole Caufield · 2nd 19:08 · PP · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Matthew Schaefer · 3rd 00:45 · PP · 3–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
7
Kaiden Guhle · 3rd 03:17 · GWG · 4–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
8
Juraj Slafkovský · 3rd 08:08 · 5–3
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
9
Cole Caufield · 3rd 11:20 · 6–3
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
10
Cole Caufield · 3rd 14:59 · PP · 7–3
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:31
Casey Cizikas· Slashing
Slafkovský scored on this power play
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:05
Kaiden Guhle· Roughing
Heineman scored on this power play
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:13
Tony DeAngelo· Slashing
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:02
Noah Dobson· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:23
Tony DeAngelo· Interference
Caufield scored on this power play
Minor
5
Nick Suzuki, Juraj Slafkovský · Power play (DeAngelo, interference) · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
3–2
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:53
Brendan Gallagher· Tripping
Schaefer scored on this power play
Minor
3rd period
6
Mathew Barzal, Bo Horvat · Power play (Gallagher, tripping) · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3–3
7
Alexandre Carrier, Brendan Gallagher · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4–3
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:28
Mathew Barzal· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:28
Kaiden Guhle· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:28
Mathew Barzal· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
10 min
Misconduct
14:28
Mathew Barzal· Misconduct
Misconduct
PEN
10 min
Misconduct
14:28
Kaiden Guhle· Misconduct
Misconduct
PEN
10 min
Misconduct
14:59
Brayden Schenn· Misconduct
Misconduct
PEN
10 min
Misconduct
14:59
Nick Suzuki· Misconduct
Misconduct
Goaltending
19/22 saves · 3 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 0.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
26/32 saves · 6 GA · 3.8 xGA
Allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Canadiens went 3-for-3 on the power play and allowed 2 on 3 Islanders power plays.