MTL 6–2 BUF Final · W
Canadiens/Schedule/Recap Sun, May 10, 2026 · 2025-26 playoffs
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 6-4
6–2
FinalW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 5-4
1ST2ND3RDT MTL 11431528637 BUF 18110010228 goals · shots on goal
Game 3 — the Canadiens lead the series 2–1
MTL 6-4 · BUF 5-4 · Game 3 — the Canadiens lead the series 2–1

Canadiens beat the Sabres

The Canadiens earned it: 4.6 expected goals to 2.1, and a 6–2 win to show for it. Jakub Dobes stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.

Who had the better chances

The Canadiens created the better chances: 4.6 expected goals to 2.1, on 36 and 28 shots on goal.

MTL 4.6 xG · 36 shots BUF 2.1 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st 1.2 · 0.6
2nd · the swing 2.5 · 0.5
3rd 1.0 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Canadiens win 83.
MTL 83%BUF 17%

Goals and penalties

8 goals · 24 penalties
← Canadiens shoot this way Sabres shoot this way →
On net Missed Bigger = better chance 1Goal, numbered to the list
1st period
1
00:53 Tage Thompson
Rasmus Dahlin · slap shot, a good chance (11%)
0–1
PEN
07:42 Josh Norris· Interference
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
11:47 Alex Newhook· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
PEN
11:47 Josh Doan· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
2
15:31 Alex Newhook
Jake Evans · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
1–1
PEN
18:44 Zachary Bolduc· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
PEN
18:44 Zachary Bolduc· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
PEN
18:44 Conor Timmins· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
PEN
20:00 Rasmus Dahlin· Roughing
Killed
2 min
Minor
2nd period
PEN
04:43 Josh Doan· Tripping
Caufield scored on this power play
2 min
Minor
3
06:05 Cole Caufield PP
Lane Hutson, Ivan Demidov · Power play (Doan, tripping) · slap shot, a good chance (19%)
2–1
4
10:43 Zachary Bolduc GWG
Joseph Veleno, Alexandre Carrier · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
3–1
PEN
11:32 Jordan Greenway· Roughing
Slafkovský scored on this power play
2 min
Minor
PEN
11:32 Beck Malenstyn· Interference goalkeeper
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
PEN
11:32 Zachary Bolduc· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
5
12:17 Juraj Slafkovský PP
Lane Hutson, Cole Caufield · Power play (Greenway, roughing) · slap shot, a great chance (34%)
4–1
PEN
14:30 Kirby Dach· Holding the stick
Dahlin scored on this power play
2 min
Minor
6
14:46 Rasmus Dahlin PP
Tage Thompson, Josh Doan · Power play (Dach, holding the stick) · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
4–2
PEN
17:47 Alex Tuch· High-sticking
Killed
2 min
Minor
3rd period
PEN
04:22 Lane Hutson· Interference
Killed
2 min
Minor
7
08:46 Kirby Dach
Alexandre Texier, Phillip Danault · slap shot, a great chance (33%)
5–2
PEN
12:13 Kaiden Guhle· High-sticking
Killed
2 min
Minor
8
15:14 Alex Newhook EN
Nick Suzuki, Jake Evans · into an empty net
6–2
PEN
17:13 Logan Stanley· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
PEN
17:13 Kaiden Guhle· Cross-checking
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
PEN
17:13 Zach Benson· Slashing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
PEN
17:13 Zach Benson· Misconduct
10 min
Misconduct
PEN
17:13 Logan Stanley· Misconduct
10 min
Misconduct
PEN
17:13 Zachary Bolduc· Misconduct
10 min
Misconduct
PEN
17:13 Kaiden Guhle· Misconduct
10 min
Misconduct
PEN
20:00 Sam Carrick· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
PEN
20:00 Arber Xhekaj· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
Goaltending
+1.5
vs expected
26/28 saves · 2 GA · 3.5 xGA Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
−0.2
vs expected
31/36 saves · 5 GA · 4.8 xGA Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
Team MTLBUF
Shots on goal
36
28
Expected goals
4.6
2.1
Hits
0
0
Blocks
0
0
Faceoffs
62%
38%
Power play
2/4
1/3
Penalty minutes
0
0
The Canadiens went 2-for-4 on the power play and allowed 1 on 3 Sabres power plays.