Nashville Predators
NSH · 44-29-7
4–5
Final / OTL
Calgary Flames
CGY · 50-20-10
1ST2ND3RDOTT
NSH
06272901423
CGY
1911221314538
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Predators lead the season series 2–1
NSH 44-29-7 · CGY 50-20-10 · Meeting 3 this season — the Predators lead the season series 2–1
Predators fell to the Flames
The Predators were outchanced (3.0 to 1.9 expected goals) and lost it in overtime on Lindholm's goal. Dan Vladar allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flames created the better chances: 3.0 expected goals to 1.9, on 38 and 23 shots on goal.
NSH 1.9 xG · 23 shots
CGY 3.0 xG · 38 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 0.9
2nd
0.5 · 0.5
3rd
0.5 · 1.0
OT
0.3 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dillon Dube · 1st 04:02 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Roman Josi · 2nd 05:41 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Matt Duchene · 2nd 08:08 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Dillon Dube · 2nd 13:14 · 2–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Filip Forsberg · 3rd 00:30 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Noah Hanifin · 3rd 02:03 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
7
Filip Forsberg · 3rd 09:35 · 4–3 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
8
Matthew Tkachuk · 3rd 19:59 · 4–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
9
Elias Lindholm · OT 02:01 · 4–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 32.
NSH 32%CGY 68%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dillon Dube · 1st 04:02 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Roman Josi · 2nd 05:41 · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Matt Duchene · 2nd 08:08 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Dillon Dube · 2nd 13:14 · 2–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Filip Forsberg · 3rd 00:30 · PP · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Noah Hanifin · 3rd 02:03 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
7
Filip Forsberg · 3rd 09:35 · PP · 4–3
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
8
Matthew Tkachuk · 3rd 19:59 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
9
Elias Lindholm · OT 02:01 · GWG · 4–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1st period
1
Mikael Backlund, Rasmus Andersson · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
0–1
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
9
Rasmus Andersson, Johnny Gaudreau · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4–5
No penalties
Goaltending
30/33 saves · 3 GA · 2.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
3/5 saves · 2 GA · 0.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.