NSH
3–7
COL
Final · L
Nashville Predators
NSH · 0-3
3–7
FinalL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 3-0
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
11121009330
COL
211319212742
goals · shots on goal
Game 3 — the Predators trail the series 0–3
NSH 0-3 · COL 3-0 · Game 3 — the Predators trail the series 0–3
Predators fell to the Avalanche
The Predators were outchanced (3.9 to 2.6 expected goals) and lost 3–7. Connor Ingram allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 2.6, on 42 and 30 shots on goal.
NSH 2.6 xG · 30 shots
COL 3.9 xG · 42 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.7 · 1.0
2nd · the swing
1.3 · 2.1
3rd
0.6 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Artturi Lehkonen · 1st 10:45 · 0–1 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 16:08 · 0–2 · deflected shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Matt Duchene · 1st 17:37 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Eeli Tolvanen · 2nd 05:41 · 2–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Gabriel Landeskog · 2nd 10:58 · 2–3 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
6
Roman Josi · 2nd 12:54 · 3–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Gabriel Landeskog · 2nd 14:02 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Nazem Kadri · 2nd 14:41 · 3–5 · wrist shot, a great chance (25%)
9
Devon Toews · 3rd 09:33 · 3–6 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
10
Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 17:14 · 3–7 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 30.
NSH 30%COL 70%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Avalanche shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Artturi Lehkonen · 1st 10:45 · PP · 0–1
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 16:08 · PP · 0–2
Deflected shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Matt Duchene · 1st 17:37 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Eeli Tolvanen · 2nd 05:41 · PP · 2–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Gabriel Landeskog · 2nd 10:58 · PP · 2–3
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
6
Roman Josi · 2nd 12:54 · PP · 3–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Gabriel Landeskog · 2nd 14:02 · GWG · 3–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Nazem Kadri · 2nd 14:41 · PP · 3–5
Wrist shot, a great chance (25%)
9
Devon Toews · 3rd 09:33 · 3–6
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
10
Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 17:14 · EN · 3–7
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
35/41 saves · 6 GA · 3.9 xGA
Allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
18/20 saves · 2 GA · 2.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
