NSH
3–5
COL
Final · L
Nashville Predators
NSH · 0-4
3–5
FinalL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 4-0
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
16112113331
COL
113111314538
goals · shots on goal
Game 4 — the Predators trail the series 0–4
NSH 0-4 · COL 4-0 · Game 4 — the Predators trail the series 0–4
Predators fell to the Avalanche
The Predators were outchanced (2.6 to 1.8 expected goals) and lost 3–5. Connor Ingram allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 2.6 expected goals to 1.8, on 38 and 31 shots on goal.
NSH 1.8 xG · 31 shots
COL 2.6 xG · 38 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.4 · 0.9
2nd
0.8 · 0.8
3rd
0.6 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Andre Burakovsky · 1st 01:56 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Yakov Trenin · 1st 18:59 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Cale Makar · 2nd 13:33 · 1–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Yakov Trenin · 2nd 16:49 · 2–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (11%)
5
Filip Forsberg · 3rd 03:58 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Devon Toews · 3rd 08:55 · 3–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 12:02 · 3–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 19:04 · 3–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 35.
NSH 35%COL 65%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Avalanche shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Andre Burakovsky · 1st 01:56 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Yakov Trenin · 1st 18:59 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Cale Makar · 2nd 13:33 · 1–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Yakov Trenin · 2nd 16:49 · 2–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (11%)
5
Filip Forsberg · 3rd 03:58 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Devon Toews · 3rd 08:55 · 3–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 12:02 · GWG · 3–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 19:04 · EN · 3–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
33/37 saves · 4 GA · 2.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 1.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
