NSH
1–4
DAL
Final · L
Nashville Predators
NSH · 2-1-0
1–4
FinalL
Dallas Stars
DAL · 1-0-0
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
09011112132
DAL
21211017429
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–1
NSH 2-1-0 · DAL 1-0-0 · First meeting this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–1
Predators fell to the Stars
The Predators were outchanced (3.3 to 2.0 expected goals) and lost 1–4. Jake Oettinger stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 2.0, on 29 and 32 shots on goal.
NSH 2.0 xG · 32 shots
DAL 3.3 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 1.2
2nd
0.9 · 1.3
3rd
0.6 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mason Marchment · 1st 02:31 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Mason Marchment · 1st 18:56 · 0–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
3
Joe Pavelski · 2nd 19:09 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Wyatt Johnston · 3rd 04:22 · 0–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Ryan Johansen · 3rd 04:53 · 1–4 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 29.
NSH 29%DAL 71%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Stars shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mason Marchment · 1st 02:31 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Mason Marchment · 1st 18:56 · PP · GWG · 0–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
3
Joe Pavelski · 2nd 19:09 · 0–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Wyatt Johnston · 3rd 04:22 · PP · 0–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Ryan Johansen · 3rd 04:53 · 1–4
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
25/29 saves · 4 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
31/32 saves · 1 GA · 2.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
