NSH
2–1
MIN
Final · W
Nashville Predators
NSH · 7-8-1
2–1
FinalW
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 7-7-2
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
2110707225
MIN
01701016133
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Predators lead the season series 1–0
NSH 7-8-1 · MIN 7-7-2 · First meeting this season — the Predators lead the season series 1–0
Predators beat the Wild
The Predators were outchanced (3.0 to 2.2 expected goals) but won 2–1 anyway. Juuse Saros stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Wild created the better chances: 3.0 expected goals to 2.2, on 33 and 25 shots on goal.
NSH 2.2 xG · 25 shots
MIN 3.0 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 1.6
2nd
0.5 · 0.8
3rd
0.6 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nino Niederreiter · 1st 11:20 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Matt Duchene · 1st 12:04 · 2–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Frederick Gaudreau · 3rd 00:32 · 2–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 35.
NSH 35%MIN 65%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Wild shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nino Niederreiter · 1st 11:20 · 1–0
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Matt Duchene · 1st 12:04 · PP · GWG · 2–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Frederick Gaudreau · 3rd 00:32 · 2–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/33 saves · 1 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
23/25 saves · 2 GA · 2.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
