NSH
5–4
NYI
Final · W
Nashville Predators
NSH · 8-8-1
5–4
FinalW
New York Islanders
NYI · 11-7-0
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
31811013531
NYI
17110216433
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Predators lead the season series 1–0
NSH 8-8-1 · NYI 11-7-0 · First meeting this season — the Predators lead the season series 1–0
Predators beat the Islanders
Chances were even (3.1 to 3.5 expected goals); the Predators won 5–4. Ilya Sorokin allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.1 expected goals to 3.5, on 31 and 33 shots on goal.
NSH 3.1 xG · 31 shots
NYI 3.5 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.5 · 0.3
2nd
1.3 · 0.8
3rd · the swing
0.3 · 2.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Filip Forsberg · 1st 01:03 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
2
Adam Pelech · 1st 02:43 · 1–1 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Colton Sissons · 1st 08:43 · 2–1 · deflected shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Nino Niederreiter · 1st 09:41 · 3–1 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Juuso Parssinen · 2nd 05:01 · 4–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
6
Cal Clutterbuck · 2nd 15:41 · 4–2 · deflected shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Kyle Palmieri · 3rd 04:32 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
8
Juuso Parssinen · 3rd 09:52 · 5–3 · deflected shot, a good chance (13%)
9
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 3rd 15:39 · 5–4 · wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 43.
NSH 43%NYI 57%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Islanders shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Filip Forsberg · 1st 01:03 · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
2
Adam Pelech · 1st 02:43 · 1–1
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Colton Sissons · 1st 08:43 · 2–1
Deflected shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Nino Niederreiter · 1st 09:41 · 3–1
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Juuso Parssinen · 2nd 05:01 · 4–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
6
Cal Clutterbuck · 2nd 15:41 · 4–2
Deflected shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Kyle Palmieri · 3rd 04:32 · 4–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
8
Juuso Parssinen · 3rd 09:52 · PP · GWG · 5–3
Deflected shot, a good chance (13%)
9
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 3rd 15:39 · PP · 5–4
Wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
29/33 saves · 4 GA · 3.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
26/31 saves · 5 GA · 3.1 xGA
Allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
